Gentlemen,
Thanks for your ideas/opinions.
Thanks GNO,
I see that your quote, interesting.
"But what if, instead playing without waiting for qualifications and VLes, we wait for a little and instead waiting for unique group of 8 or 16, we bet on every number which didn't appear for 15 consecutive spins, betting flat bet for additional 20 spins?"
================
Regarding the VARIANCE,
If the bet selection = bet last decision, to hit in NEXT SEVEN SPINS, then, the probability=
==================
szbox say =17.5% .
Mr.Oops! finding=19.731% .
my inacurate calculation=15.3% hit.
===============================
Thus if we , as GNO suggest,
if we wait for 8 miss, or 16 miss,
then
========================
szbox say =17.5%
100attempt may have 17.5 hit.
Thus after 8 unhit.
The RISK=
100-8=92, there may be 17.5hit/92 remaining attempt.
after 16 unhit.
The RISK=
100-16=84, there may be 17.5hit/84attempt.
======================
Mr.Oops! finding=19.731%
or 19.7/100 attempts.
Thus after 8 unhit.
The RISK=
100-8=92, there may be 19.7hit/92attempt.
after 16 unhit.
The RISK=
100-16=84, there may be 19.7hit/84attempt.
================
and my inacurate finding
=15.3% hit.
=15.3/100attempts
Thus after 8 unhit.
The RISK=
100-8=92,
there may be
15.3 hit/92attempt.
after 16 unhit.
The RISK=
100-16=84, there may be 15.3hit/84attempt.
================
Or in other style of calculation.
If after say 20attempts,
there is only 1 hit,
Then ,
100-20=80remaining attempts,
then...
szbox say =17.5% .
thus , after 1hit in 20attempts
16.6hit/80attempts
=====================
Mr.Oops! finding=19.731% .
thus , after 1 hit in 20attempts,
18.7hit/80attempts
================
my inacurate calculation=15.3% hit.
thus , after 1 hit in 20attempts,
14.3hit/80attempts
============
Since we cant predict future, but bet accordingly to the law of probability, and take risk accordingly, we may bet so that the profit will greater than the losses, in the long run.
That my opinion,
on how to bet variance.
===========
Since I am programing illiterate,
it will be helpful, if someone could do a very long test, preferably, 1millions spins, to get the ,
"bet last decision, single number, to see, how many will hit in first seven spins, in percentage"
Thanks for reading.
Thanks for your ideas/opinions.
Thanks GNO,
I see that your quote, interesting.
"But what if, instead playing without waiting for qualifications and VLes, we wait for a little and instead waiting for unique group of 8 or 16, we bet on every number which didn't appear for 15 consecutive spins, betting flat bet for additional 20 spins?"
================
Regarding the VARIANCE,
If the bet selection = bet last decision, to hit in NEXT SEVEN SPINS, then, the probability=
==================
szbox say =17.5% .
Mr.Oops! finding=19.731% .
my inacurate calculation=15.3% hit.
===============================
Thus if we , as GNO suggest,
if we wait for 8 miss, or 16 miss,
then
========================
szbox say =17.5%
100attempt may have 17.5 hit.
Thus after 8 unhit.
The RISK=
100-8=92, there may be 17.5hit/92 remaining attempt.
after 16 unhit.
The RISK=
100-16=84, there may be 17.5hit/84attempt.
======================
Mr.Oops! finding=19.731%
or 19.7/100 attempts.
Thus after 8 unhit.
The RISK=
100-8=92, there may be 19.7hit/92attempt.
after 16 unhit.
The RISK=
100-16=84, there may be 19.7hit/84attempt.
================
and my inacurate finding
=15.3% hit.
=15.3/100attempts
Thus after 8 unhit.
The RISK=
100-8=92,
there may be
15.3 hit/92attempt.
after 16 unhit.
The RISK=
100-16=84, there may be 15.3hit/84attempt.
================
Or in other style of calculation.
If after say 20attempts,
there is only 1 hit,
Then ,
100-20=80remaining attempts,
then...
szbox say =17.5% .
thus , after 1hit in 20attempts
16.6hit/80attempts
=====================
Mr.Oops! finding=19.731% .
thus , after 1 hit in 20attempts,
18.7hit/80attempts
================
my inacurate calculation=15.3% hit.
thus , after 1 hit in 20attempts,
14.3hit/80attempts
============
Since we cant predict future, but bet accordingly to the law of probability, and take risk accordingly, we may bet so that the profit will greater than the losses, in the long run.
That my opinion,
on how to bet variance.
===========
Since I am programing illiterate,
it will be helpful, if someone could do a very long test, preferably, 1millions spins, to get the ,
"bet last decision, single number, to see, how many will hit in first seven spins, in percentage"
Thanks for reading.